Welcome



This is my tennis blog, Lefty Advantage. Tennis is my biggest passion in life and I started this site to discuss the great game. I mainly follow the career of Roger Federer, but I truly love watching all tennis, whether it be the final of a Grand Slam
or a junior tournament on the other side of the world.

I have played tennis for 13 years. If you ever met me, I could talk your head off about all things tennis for hours on end if you would let me. Welcome, and enjoy the writing!

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Federer's '13 Schedule Thoughts

Hey all, just a formal rambling on what Federer's 2013 season might bring and what we can expect from him given the schedule he has set out for himself.

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As far as tennis seasons go for players at age 30 or over, Roger Federer's 2012 campaign must be placed among the best. He won his seventh Wimbledon, he reached World #1 and stayed there for 17 weeks, and he won six titles while finishing runner-up at another three. After a 2011 season that left more to be desired, he came through big for his fans in 2012 and used every ounce of energy he had to achieve all his goals.

2013 could be a little different.  He released his schedule a while ago and there are some notable tournaments missing - specifically Miami and Basel, his home tournament. It is speculated that he will reach a deal with the tournament's organizers by next October, and I'm betting he will. But he certainly won' play Miami.

Overall, his schedule looks like this: open the season at the Australian Open without any warmup tournaments, as has been customary for the two-time defending champion Down Under, Novak Djokovic. Then the Maestro will be off to defend 1000 points in Rotterdam and Dubai, before defending another 1000 in Indian Wells. After that, he takes a month-plus long break and returns to action in Madrid, which unfortunate for him, is back to red clay next year. He is skipping Monte Carlo just as he did in 2012. After Madrid he plays Rome and then it's off to Roland Garros.

Just as in '12, he'll warm up on the green stuff in Halle, before chasing his record-breaking 8th Wimbledon title. Then his summer will be a little less strenuous for him, as there are no Olympics to play in this coming year. So after the break, he plays in Montreal and Cincinnati before suiting up in dark colours yet again for the US Open. Then after that break, he will play Shanghai, Paris, and the World Tour Finals (well, assuming he gets there which he most certainly should).

So overall he is scheduled to play in 7 Masters tournaments and 14 tournaments overall (if he doesn't make changes, and 15 including the WTF), which are down from the numbers he usually posts. However, Roger is a master at keeping his body fresh for the big tournaments, and he knows what he's doing. Having the extended breaks after Indian Wells, Wimbledon, and the US Open will keep him sharp mentally and physically for all divisions of the year.

The big announcement Federer made was that he was not going to be playing Davis Cup next year, which is an unpopular decision in his home nation. Regardless, this is the best thing for him to do. The Swiss have a World Group tie against the Czech Republic in February, who of course won the whole tournament defeating Spain a few weeks ago.

It is wise for Roger not to play Davis Cup for health reasons, to not tire him out. But even with his help, the Swiss would have a hard time beating the solid Czech squad led by Tomas Berdych. Even if Roger was to, say, win his opening match against Radek Stepanek, and Berdych beats Wawrinka, the doubles tie would likely go to Berdych and Stepanek as Roger and Stan aren't the greatest doubles team and the #2 Swiss is a bit of an inconsistent weak link in that pair.

Overall, it's just not worth it to play Davis Cup because Roger would have to reduce his schedule even further. At this point in his career, it is all about playing well at the Slams and with this kind of schedule, he will aim to go far in every event he enters.

In 2013, winning either of the four Slams will be very, very special. The Australian Open becausehe hasn't won it in what will be three years and a win would make him the first 5-time champion there. A second win at the French Open would further cement his legacy. An 8th Wimbledon win would put him alone at the top at SW19, and after four straight years of so-close-but-not-close-enough kind of losses, winning a 6th US Open would be extremely special.

We know that every top player goes into every tournament with the expectations of winning, but there are many tournaments on Roger's calendar that he can enter knowing he's the either the favourite or at very least co-favourite. Those would be Rotterdam, Dubai, Halle, Wimbledon, Cincinnati, the US Open, Paris, and the World Tour Finals (and Basel if he plays). It is unreasonable for him to win all those tournaments, but a good goal for me if I were him would be one Slam, two Masters, and perhaps one or two other titles.

2013 should be an exciting year for Roger. He accomplished so much in 2012 that he appears very relaxed during the exhibitions he's playing in South America (more of that coming up), and if he's relaxed and pressure-free heading into the new year, it could spell danger for opponents and further success for the Master.

Have an early happy holidays, everyone.

Kyle.

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Kyle's 2012 ATP Awards

As we are in the offseason and there is no tennis to speak of, I thought I'd give my own end of year awards, plus my thoughts on who to watch going into a sure-to-be very exciting 2013.

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Player of the Year: Novak Djokovic

No player has ever had to work harder to win a Grand Slam.

Djokovic started the year #1 and ended the year #1 (albeit in the last two weeks of the season). He made three Grand Slam finals and won one, the Australian Open. He won six titles (AO, Miami, Toronto, Beijing, Shanghai, and the World Tour Finals) and made five other finals (Monte Carlo, Rome, Roland Garros, Cincinnati, US Open). He followed his amazing 2011 season with a solid 2012 campaign, and to me, he was the best player overall throughout the course of the year.

After the Australian Open, he struggled a bit, understandably, but after winning Miami, he had a great clay court season and nearly won the French Open, which would have been his fourth Slam in a row. After losing four times in a little over a month, he rebounded strongly to have the best second half of the year (post-Wimbledon) with four titles, culminating with his 2nd year-ending championship where he went undefeated. He finished the year winning 15 of the 16 matches he played in. He did lose the #1 ranking to Federer but he had so much to defend in the first half of 2012 it's understandable (plus Federer raised his game and made a strong push in the first half of the year).

Most Impressive Player of the Year: Roger Federer


While Djokovic gets my vote as the player of the year, the all-time leader in Grand Slam titles was the most impressive player of the 2012 season in my opinion.

He won 6 titles (most since 2007) and returned to world #1. He won a Grand Slam at 30 years of age, which hadn't been done in nine years since Agassi lifted the Australian Open trophy in 2003.  He won over 70 matches (71) in a year for the first time since 2006 and between Rotterdam and Cincinnati he went on a run of 49-5, including stretches where he went 16-0 and won 18/19 and 21/22 matches (Wimbledon-Cincinnati and Rotterdam-Madrid). He also became the first player to win a Masters title without being broken, when he did so in Cincinnati (though that tournament will be remembered as the time he bageled Novak Djokovic, I believe). Last but not least, he won a medal at the Olympics, silver, which was the only thing he had been missing from his resume.

He will go down as the only champion to have won on blue clay, and the way he handled that entire week was inspiring. Unlike Djokovic and Nadal who complained about the surface, Roger adapted and played some of his best tennis of the year. At the start of the week against Milos Raonic, he struggled from the baseline so he switched to serve and volley tactics. But by the final against Tomas Berdych, he was chasing down heavy groundstrokes like the King of Clay himself, Rafa Nadal.

Federer won his 7th Wimbledon. He regained the #1 ranking. He broke the all-time weeks record at #1 and ended up stretching his record to 302 weeks. However, what may have been most impressive about his season was what happened previous to it. After having years in 2010 and 2011 that some (and maybe he) would find disappointing, he started the year with a goal in mind and did everything he could to achieve it (the goal being to reach #1). He won a lot of close matches and showed the kind of heart and drive that would bring him success at Wimbledon.

Simply, what Federer did in 2012, at age 30-going-on-31 was just outstanding. To have the motivation and commitment of a player ten years his junior, after everything he has accomplished, is quite unbelievable. For much of the first half of 2012, he was the player to beat, and he was perhaps a few matches away from becoming the year-end #1.

Most Improved Player of the Year: Andreas Seppi

What might have been....

 The 28 year-old Italian gets my vote for most improved player of the year for a few reasons. He reached a career-high ranking of 22 in October and finished the year #23, up from #38, where he started the year.

However, it was his play and results that really stood out as a big improvement. It started in Belgrade where he won his 2nd ever title. Then two weeks later, he made the quarterfinals in Rome, before losing to Federer. He also took part in one of the most entertaining and dramatic matches of the year against Stan Wawrinka the round before, where he saved many match points before winning in a third-set tiebreak.

Then at Roland Garros, he followed his good form up with a 4th round appearance against Novak Djokovic, where he took a two set lead before the Serb came back to win. After that, he made the finals in Eastbourne before losing to Andy Roddick (he will hold the distinction of being the final player Andy beat to win a title). After the US Open, he led Italy back into the World Group with a win over Chile, and then made the finals of Metz, a 250 event, losing to Tsonga. He finished a vastly improved year with a win in Moscow, where he defeated Thomaz Bellucci in the final.

Newcomer of the Year: Jerzy Janowicz 

I have that same shirt!

Janowicz started 2012 ranked #221, and ended the year ranked #26. The Polish 22 year-old made a huge splash in the final Masters event of the year in Paris, where he made the final, defeating four top 20 players (including Andy Murray) before losing to David Ferrer. However, his improvement in the rankings was not only due to that finals appearance in Paris, as he was already #69 before that tournament started. He won three Challenger events, in Italy, the Netherlands, and Poland, and he made the 3rd round at Wimbledon before falling to Florian Mayer. His jump of 195 spots in the rankings was remarkable and he is a player worth keeping an eye on as 2013 unfolds.




Comeback Player of the Year: Tommy Haas


The veteran German started the year outside the top 200. By August, he was in the top 25. How did he do it? It started at the French Open, where he made the 3rd round after going through qualifying. Then he went into his home country and won the Halle title on grass against Roger Federer. After a first round loss at Wimbledon, he made the final in two 500 events, Hamburg and Washington, losing to Monaco and Dolgopolov respectively. He followed that by making the quarterfinals in Toronto and pushing the then world #2 Novak Djokovic to 3 sets. He capped off a great year with another quarterfinal appearance in a Masters 1000 event, this time in Shanghai, where he again lost to Djokovic.

Haas finished the year ranked 21 - and he started the year #205, a 184-rank jump in 11 months. With being 34 years old, very old in tennis terms, and coming off many injuries, the former world #2 gets my vote for Comeback Player of the Year.

Biggest Disappointment of the Year: John Isner

This sums up Isner's Grand Slam season.

There were many expectations on the big American heading into the season, and he didn't live up to any of them. He lost in the 3rd round of the Australian Open, 2nd round of the French Open, 1st round at Wimbledon, 3rd round at the US Open. He performed well in the Davis Cup and made his biggest impact at Indian Wells where he upset Djokovic and lost to Federer in the final (he entered the top 10 briefly after this), but overall, it just wasn't the year many thought he would have.

He overscheduled and therefore didn't allow himself to play his best when it mattered most. He played 21 tournaments and three Davis Cup ties, and he put too many miles on his body. A guy like David Ferrer can keep up with playing a lot of tournaments, but not a guy like John. His style of play was also poor, as he chose to lumber around the baseline instead of attacking. In essence, he paid the price for exposing the glaring holes in his game.

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Who to watch for in 2013?

Rafael Nadal: It shall be interesting to see how the Mallorcan responds after missing the second half of 2012. Will he be the same player he once was? He has said he will be changing his schedule up to help reduce his injuries, but could he pay for that in the rankings?

Grigor Dimitrov: At #48 in the world, will 2013 be his breakthrough season? He has been touted as a talented player with the potential to do great things, but can he be good enough week in and week out to break into the top 30? Top 20 even?

Milos Raonic: The big-serving, lanky Canadian had a solid 2012, in which he reached his career-high of 13 to end the year. He had two wins over Andy Murray and three close losses to Roger Federer (he probably should have won the last two). As he starts hitting his peak years, he will be a top 10 contender and will look to make the final eight at majors next year.

Juan Martin del Potro: It appears as though the big Argentine is back to the form he displayed throughout the second half of 2009. Delpo had a great year, winning 65 matches, four titles, and a bronze medal. He was stunted by Federer six times (including the French Open and London Olympics) before winning the final two matches in Basel and the World Tour Finals. He will be a very dangerous threat to the top 4 in 2013, and I'm sure he has a major on his mind. And the thing is that he has the game at all four majors, so he should be a consistent threat year-round.

Friday, November 16, 2012

2012 Federer Season in Review

Simply, 2012 was a better season for Roger Federer than any of his fans could have expected.

At the Australian Open, he played some amazing tennis before losing to his biggest rival, Nadal, in the semifinals. This was a disappointing match because he played so well prior and ulimately gave up on his tactics after the first set.

A week later at the Davis Cup, he suffered a shock loss to John Isner (who had never beaten him), en route to Switzerland getting blitzed by the USA. By this point, Roger had lost two straight matches, but nobody could have guessed what he would do in the coming months.

He played in Rotterdam, a 500 tournament, for the first time since 2005. In the semifinals, he fought from a break down in the second set (after losing the first) against Nikolay Davydenko to win, and then dismissed del Potro quite easily to win his 71st career title. A week later in Dubai, he did not drop a set and was only broken once to capture that title, his 5th at the event.

 Riding into Indian Wells, which he had not won since 2006, he was confident after putting together a 10-match win streak. After coming back from a set down to defeat Milos Raonic and Thomaz Bellucci consecutively, before stringing together three quality matches against del Potro, Nadal, and John Isner to capture his 19th Masters title. This was very impressive because he was ill with the flu the entire week, and still put together an outstanding week.

In Miami, Federer suffered a loss to one of his oldest rivals, Andy Roddick. The American played one of the best matches of his life, and with the loss, Roger had an extended break until the clay court season.

Which brings us to Madrid. There was great controversy over the event because blue clay was laid down, which made Nadal and Djokovic extremely unhappy (they both went out early). Federer's draw was very hard, and he barely scraped past Raonic before dispatching Gasquet, Ferrer, and Tipsarevic in making the final. In that final, he took on Tomas Berdych, and fought valiantly from a set down and had maybe his most clutch match of the season, winning his 20th Masters title and 74th overall.

Here came the down part of the year for Roger. In Rome, he made the semis before losing to Djokovic, but got some decent match play heading into the French Open. However, at Roland Garros, he never found his rhythm and after coming back from two sets down to defeat del Potro in the quarterfinals, he lost to Djokovic in the semis in a rematch of their famous encounter in 2011.

In retrospect, losing to Djokovic at the French was a blessing in disguise. The Serb and Nadal battled a war in the final whereas Fed received some extra rest, preparing himself for the grass court season. In Halle, he made a run to the final, including a third come-from-behind win against Raonic, before losing to his good friend Tommy Haas (more on the German later). Even with the defeat, it was a solid warm-up for his favourite Slam of the year.

At Wimbledon, the magic happened. In the 3rd round, he was two points from being upset from Julien Benneteau, but miraculously survived. A round later, on a cold, windy day, he suffered a scary back injury against Xavier Malisse, but somehow willed himself to victory.

Then came the moment of truth. In the semifinals, he took on Djokovic in a gargantuan battle. He was rock solid and took out the defending Wimbledon champion to make his first Wimbledon final in three years. He would face Britain's favourite son, Andy Murray, and with a win, would return to #1 in the world. He lost the first set to the Scot, but rebounded like champions do, and played some of the finest tennis he's ever played to win his 17th major title in 4 sets. It was a momentous occasion and all the hard work he had put together in the 10 months previous finally paid off.

 A few weeks later, he was back at SW19 for the Olympics. After surviving an early scare against Alejandro Falla (of Wimbledon 2010 fame), he landed himself in the semifinals without much trouble, against del Potro. He fought from a set down and won 19-17 in the third set in a contest that lasted well over four hours long. It was the longest three-set match ever. The win guaranteed him a singles medal, his first ever. In the final, he had little left in the tank against a red-hot Andy Murray and took home the silver, a fantastic achievement.

Because of the Olympics, he skipped Toronto and found himself back at his stunning best in Cincinnati. He defeated Djokovic in the final, delivering a bagel in the process. He held serve the entire tournament, the first time ever that a player has won a Masters title without being broken.

He took that momentum into the US Open, hoping to capture his 6th title in New York. After easing through his first three rounds, he received a walkover in the fourth when Mardy Fish withdrew due to health concerns, and he walked into the quarterfinals cold against Tomas Berdych. The Czech power hitter took advantage of the less-than-sharp play of the Swiss and won in four sets. It was a disappointing loss because had he won, he could have very well won the tournament.

After helping Switzerland get back into the World Group by taking out the Netherlands, Roger was back on tour action, looking to capture his first Shanghai title (he skipped the event in 2011 which led to his sweep of the indoor season). In the semifinals, he lost in straights to Andy Murray.

In Basel, he made the final before losing to del Potro in three close sets. He then took the week in Paris off, thus losing the #1 ranking, the total at 302 weeks. He entered the World Tour Finals on a 10-match winning streak at the event.

His first win against Janko Tipsarevic broke Ivan Lendl's record for most wins at the event, and he surpassed John McEnroe for most all-time wins. He overcame a tough challenge from David Ferrer, who was playing his best tennis ever, before falling yet again to the big Argentine.

He had played some great tennis in the round robin but also some errant tennis, so his semifinal showdown with Andy Murray was huge. He ended up putting together a masterclass against the US Open champion, and made his 8th final at the year-ending Masters Cup/World Tour Finals. In the final, it was the #1, Djokovic, against the #2, Federer in the last match of the season. Roger held a break in each set, but ultimately the Serb was too strong and Fed finished runner-up for the second time at the year-ending championship.

Overall, the numbers look like this: 71-12, 6 titles in 9 finals, a silver medal in the Olympics, and a return to world #1. He won 70 matches for the first time since 2006, and played a whopping 83 matches, also his most since 2006, when he played 97.

My thoughts on the season that was for the Swiss Maestro:

2012 was superb, and I don't think Federer fans could ask for much more. The last portion of the year was a bit of a letdown, but the first half of the season was absolutely magical. From Rotterdam to Cincinnati, Federer went 47-5 with 5 titles in 10 events.

I think before the win in Rotterdam, Fed was struggling with his confidence (hence the confusing losses to Nadal and Isner), but once he beat Davydenko, his entire mindset changed, and his confidence rose with every match. His serve became better, his movement and defense improved, and his mind remained focused and strong under duress, which allowed him to win many matches he could have or should have lost. His play in Dubai, Indian Wells, Madrid, Wimbledon, and Cincinnati honestly put me at a loss for words, he was that astonishing.

In the fall season, he was clearly on his last legs and tired after the heavy season, and the US Open defeat to Berdych did not help with his confidence, since he was on such a high heading into that event. Basically, the Olympics wore him out, and the loss in New York diminished his confidence and momentum just enough to derail him. Still, he made two finals and could have won both those titles had a few more points gone his way. He was certainly far from his best but he fought to the very end, which was a staple in 2012 that we did not always see in 2009, 2010, and 2011.

I think what Roger was able to do this year at 30-31 is out of this world, and this will go down as one of his best seasons ever. As mentioned, he played 83 matches - the extra six matches coming from the Olympics. It wasn't just that he played so many matches, however, but that many of them were tough mental battles where he had to be on the top of his game at the important moments to win.

He showed that he is perhaps the youngest 31 year-old to ever play the game, and that his fitness is elite. He showed that his love of the game is stronger than ever and he is willing to fight with the younger generation for these big titles. I can't stress enough that for someone who has accomplished everything, to still love the game as much as he does and want to put in the work to keep getting better is very admirable and respectable. His work ethic off the court is vastly underrated and it is his commitment to training in the off-seasons that has allowed him to piece together such a fantastic season where the game is more physical than ever.

May Federer have a great 2013 season and may he continue to win more titles and keep breaking records! The Maestro proved that he is far from finished and can beat his juniors (in the prime of their careers) on any given day, and you can bet your behind that he will continue to work as hard as ever to keep himself at the top of the game, challenging for the most coveted titles in our sport.

So long,

Kyle

PS: my top ten Federer matches of 2012:

based on quality of play and importance of the match on Federer's season

1.  vs Andy Murray, Wimbledon final
2.  vs Nikolay Davydenko, Rotterdam semifinal
3.  vs Julien Benneteau, Wimbledon 3rd round
4.  vs Juan Martin del Potro, Olympics semifinal
5.  vs Milos Raonic, Madrid 2nd round
6.  vs Tomas Berdych, Madrid final
7.  vs Rafael Nadal, Indian Wells semifinal
8.  vs Bernard Tomic, Australian Open 4th round
9.  vs Novak Djokovic, Wimbledon semifinal
10.  vs Novak Djokovic, Cincinnati final

Monday, November 12, 2012

Djokovic beats Federer for WTF Title

Roger Federer could not capture his 7th World Tour Finals title as he lost 7-6(5), 7-5 to Novak Djokovic in an intense, grueling battle between the world's two best players.

Federer couldn't have asked for a better start as he took twelve of the fourteen points to open the match at 3-0, but it was short-lived as Djokovic raised his level to get back even at 3-3. The Serb broke at 4-4 and was two points away from the set, but Roger stormed back to break. They went to a tiebreak, where Djokovic held set point at 6-5, but Federer made a ridiculous stretch volley followed by a whip forehand that was behind him to save it. It was to no avail however as he lost the next point and Djokovic put away a forehand winner to take the tiebreak seven points to five.

Set number two also started just as Federer would have liked, as he broke the Djokovic serve. He held the one-break lead until he served for the set at 5-4 and held two set points, but he could not close it out. Djokovic wound up breaking back and holding, and he took his first championship point, giving him his second year-ending title.

It was a highly entertaining and dramatic match, and both Djokovic and Federer brought it on the occasion. It was a back-and-forth match with a multitude of momentum swings, and in the end, Djokovic was more opportunistic and deserved the win.

Thoughts:

Wow. That is about the best that I can sum it all up. A fantastic season of tennis was finished with a stellar match with intense drama and an energetic crowd. Even though Federer lost in straights, he very well could have won in straights had a few more points gone his way. He had chances to get up a double break in both sets but couldn't, and Djokovic played relentless defense and returned characteristically incredible.

As a Federer fan, it surely is disappointing that he could not take his chances, but the match was decided by the smallest of margins - a point here and there. Also, full credit to Djokovic who remained patient and did not give up. He put together a great match and Roger certainly did not hand it over even when he was up a break in both sets.

It is also worthy to note that Djokovic had a day off in between his semi and final, whereas Roger had to play three matches in three days, and against three very difficult opponents for him. Given the circumstances, Roger did as well as he could have against a relentless amazing-under-pressure Novak Djokovic.

I don't think Roger should feel any regret. After all, he lost to a player six years his junior, and that player had to fight tooth and nail to beat him. Roger showed tremendous heart and fighting ability, and he definitely gave it everything he had. Both of them did. And that is why it was such a thrilling contest - because both players understood that each point mattered, and that one point could swing the momentum of the match.

Winning the World Tour Finals would have been icing on the cake, but this has been a great season for Roger, his best since 2007. Djokovic has been the most consistent player on tour this year, but Roger has played the best tennis in my opinion. His level from the start of Rotterdam to the end of Cincinnati was outstanding (6 titles in that stretch). The Swiss put in the hard work all year long and continued to prove those who doubt him wrong.

He heads into 2013 as the #2 player in the world, but a great Australian Open, and he could very well have a chance to retake the #1 sometime in the year. We shall see what happens but one thing I know is that Fed will work harder than ever to ensure that his level remains as high as it was in 2012. We all know his fitness is incredible, and it will need to be as he will be one year older.

Keep your heads up folks - what Roger did was special this year, especially regaining the #1 ranking and surpassing 300 weeks - he didn't get the finish to the year he would have enjoyed, but I have no doubt this result will help motivate him for the Australian Open. He deserves a good break now and here's hoping he will start 2013 with a bang!

PS - speaking of the off season, I know many are worried about the exhibition matches Fed is playing against Tsonga in South America. I wouldn't be too concerned about it as Roger will probably take the experience as a time to relax and have some fun traveling to a part of the world he rarely visits. Plus, they take place in December, so Fed will still have a month off until them and then the Christmas break before the start of the season.

I bid adieu to another season in tennis history, and look ahead to the next one. If 2013 is as good as 2012 was, we are in for a treat! I have hopes that Roger will win another major and keep shocking the world with his brilliance, but whatever happens we are all blessed to witness the genius of the Master.